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Sara Foss's Thinking It Through
by Sara Foss

Thinking It Through

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NFL Picks, Week 6

By Sara Foss
Thursday, October 11, 2012

Every year I participate in a Pigskin Pick ’em group organized by an obnoxious friend of mine from high school who spends his Sundays doing nothing but watching NFL football. I spend very little time watching football, and yet I continue to dream of beating him. And so every week I dutifully make my picks.

Unfortunately, my obnoxious friend has surged ahead, and now holds a commanding two-point lead. I try to make up some ground this week, but I fear I have entered my annual mid-season slump. Anyway, here are my picks. As always, the winning teams are in caps.

PITTSBURGH at Tennessee — The Steelers haven’t exactly lit the world on fire this season, but they should be more than capable of beating one of the worst teams in the league.

Oakland Raiders at ATLANTA FALCONS — I’m shocked to see that the Raiders have won one game. How did that happen? Will they win any more? Such questions are tough to answer. But I can tell you this: They will not win this weekend, and the Falcons will remain one of the league’s undefeated teams.

CINCINNATI at Cleveland — The Bengals really disappointed me last week. I finally come around to the idea that they might be an elite team, and then they lost at home to Miami. I mean, good grief! Good thing they’re playing the Browns this week, and will be able to get back to their winning ways.

St. Louis at MIAMI — The Rams have an actual winning record, which is a pretty shocking development. Meanwhile, the Dolphins picked up their first win last week on the road, which is also a pretty shocking development. Anyway, these teams seem similar to me: They’re not very good, but they’re not as terrible as everybody thinks they are, either. I’m going with Miami, because they’re at home and because I just cannot believe that the Rams will improve to 4-2.

INDIANAPOLIS at New York Jets — Can Colts rookie QB Andrew Luck guide his team to victory over hapless Team Blowhard QB Mark Sanchez? I have my doubts, but I’m picking Indianapolis anyway. They’re clearly a team on the rise, while the Jets are clearly a team in a protracted state of implosion.

Detroit at PHILADELPHIA — Despite an alarming inability to score points, the Eagles are 3-2 and came very close to beating Pittsburgh on the road last weekend. They should be able to beat the struggling Lions, but don’t be surprised if they only win by two points — they’re like some underachieving high school student who does the bare minimum needed to pass.

Kansas City at TAMPA BAY — Good news, Tampa Bay! You are going to win at least two games this season!

Dallas at BALTIMORE — I cannot imagine the Cowboys beating the Ravens, which means that they probably will. But I’m going to stick to my guns and pick Baltimore. They’re the better team, and their defense should give Cowboys QB Tony Romo fits.

Buffalo at ARIZONA CARDINALS — The Cardinals picked up their first loss last week, but they should return to their winning ways when the Bills come to town. Because isn’t that a big part of what the Bills do — help other teams return to their winning ways?

NEW ENGLAND at Seattle — Patriots QB Tom Brady will play in Seattle for the first time this weekend, and I suspect that playing in a city where he’s never won before will motivate him. The Seahawks are OK, but I don’t think they’re capable of stopping an extra-focused New England team.

New York Giants at SAN FRANCISCO — This could be the game of the week. The Giants could win ... but I don’t think they will.

MINNESOTA at Washington — I love Redskins QB Robert Griffin III, but he’s coming off a mild concussion and his team is still kind of lousy. The Vikings, meanwhile, have been a nice surprise, and QB Christian Ponder looks like the real deal.

Green Bay at HOUSTON — I’ve given up on Green Bay. But even if they were good, they’d have a hard time beating the Texans, who just might be the best team in the league.

DENVER at San Diego — I was going to pick San Diego, but then I looked at their record: Their wins have come against Oakland, Kansas City and Tennessee, three terrible teams. They couldn’t even beat New Orleans last week, despite leading for much of the game. Denver, meanwhile, has lost to Houston, Atlanta and New England, three very good teams. So I’m going with the Broncos, because the Chargers haven’t demonstrated that they’re capable of beating average teams, let alone good ones.

Week 5 results:

Me: 9-5 Overall: 51-26
My obnoxious friend: 12-2 Overall: 53-24

Got a comment? Email me at sfoss@dailygazette.net.

 
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