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Sara Foss's Thinking It Through
by Sara Foss

Thinking It Through

A Daily Gazette life blog
Her column and blog rolled into one
 

NFL Picks, Week 5

By Sara Foss
Thursday, October 4, 2012

Every year I participate in a Pigskin Pick ’em group organized by an obnoxious friend of mine from high school who spends his Sundays doing nothing but watching NFL football. I spend very little time watching football, and yet I continue to dream of beating him. And so every week I dutifully make my picks.

As always, the winning teams are in caps.

ARIZONA at St. Louis — I’m going with the Cardinals, although perhaps an upset is brewing — after all, last week the horrible Dolphins came pretty close to beating Arizona. But the Cardinals are the better team, so I am going to stick with them.

Miami Dolphins at the CINCINNATI BENGALS — I doubted the Bengals’ red-headed quarterback last night, and it cost me — I won’t make the same mistake this week.

GREEN BAY PACKERS at Indianapolis Colts — I’m not all that impressed with Green Bay this year, but I’m still picking them to win. The Colts have shown some talent, but there’s little reason to believe they can beat the better teams in the league, especially when faced with a QB as good as Aaron Rodgers.

BALTIMORE RAVENS at Kansas City Chiefs — How much longer is that nice young man Matt Cassel going to keep his starting quarterback job with the Chiefs? Expect Kansas City to lose this week, and the calls to replace Cassel to grow louder and louder.

Cleveland Browns at NEW YORK GIANTS — Poor Brandon Weeden is discovering that being an NFL quarterback is HARD, especially when you’re starting for the Browns. Look for the Giants to bounce back after last week’s loss to the leaders.

Philadelphia Eagles at PITTSBURGH — Much to my amazement, the Eagles are 3-1. Even so, it’s hard to be impressed: They’ve won two games by just one point, and another game by two, which means they’ve been outscored by 17 points. Still, a winning record is a winning record. Pittsburgh is coming off a bye week and playing at home, and should come out strong.

ATLANTA FALCONS at Washington Redskins — This game could be pretty fun, as rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III has given the Redskins the ability to compete with just about anybody, though not necessarily win. Expect a tough fight, but the Falcons should prevail.

Seattle Seahawks at CAROLINA PANTHERS — The Panthers have gotten off to a rough start, but should be able to beat the Seahawks at home.

CHICAGO at Jacksonsville — It wouldn’t surprise me if the Bears followed up an impressive win in Dallas with a pathetic loss to one of the league’s worst teams. But I swore after last week that I would never pick Jacksonville to win anything ever again. So the Bears it is.

Tennessee at MINNESOTA — Look who has a winning record — the Minnesota Vikings, that’s who! They’ll improve to 4-1 after playing the j.v. squad from Tennessee.

Denver at NEW ENGLAND — New England’s been making it interesting, but perhaps they turned a corner with last week’s come-from-behind win over the Bills. In any case, they should beat the Broncos pretty easily, although you can never completely count out any team with Peyton Manning at quarterback.

Buffalo at SAN FRANCISCO — It won’t get any easier for the Bills this week, when they take on one of the best teams in the league, and lose.

SAN DIEGO AT New Orleans — I was tempted to pick the Saints. They came close last week, and the conventional wisdom says that they’re bound to win a game one of these days. But they’re so bad, and experience has taught me that trying to pinpoint when a horrible team is going to pull out a victory is not a winning Pigskin Pick’em strategy. So I’m sticking with the Chargers, but reluctantly.

HOUSTON at New York Jets — With each passing week, the Team Blowhard situation becomes more humorous. Like, I love how Jets fans are clamoring for Tim Tebow. Yes, Mark Sanchez is horrible, but why would Tebow be an improvement, exactly? Isn’t he a pretty substandard quarterback too? So, fine, replace Sanchez with Tebow. It won’t add up to a winning strategy, or season. And isn’t Santonio Holmes out? Anyway, Houston should win.

Week 4 results:

Me: 11-4 Overall: 42-21

My obnoxious friend: 11-4 Overall: 41-22

Got a comment? Email me at sfoss@dailygazette.net.

 
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