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Sara Foss's Thinking It Through
by Sara Foss

Thinking It Through

A Daily Gazette life blog
Her column and blog rolled into one

NFL Picks, Week 11

Every year I participate in a Pigskin Pick ’em group organized by an obnoxious friend of mine from high school who spends his Sundays doing nothing but watching NFL football. I spend very little time watching football, and yet I continue to dream of beating him. And so every week I dutifully make my picks.

As always, winning teams in caps.

Miami at BUFFALO — Against all reason, I am picking the Bills. Their track record against Miami is not good, but Miami has a tendency to lose games it should win, like last weekend’s blowout against the Tennessee Titans. Also, I feel sorry for the Bills. Maybe they’ll feel better about their record if I pick them to win.

Arizona at ATLANTA — The Falcons lost last weekend. Expect them to come out strong against a pretty lousy Cardinals team.

Cleveland Browns at DALLAS COWBOYS — This is the sort of game the Cowboys should win, but could definitely lose, perhaps when QB Tony Romo throws an interception in the final two minutes. But I have even less faith in the Browns than the Cowboys, which is why I’m picking Dallas.

GREEN BAY at Detroit — Green Bay seems poised to end the season strong. Detroit, not so much.

CINCINNATI at Kansas City — The Chiefs finally benched QB Matt Cassel, and replaced him with Brady Quinn ... who promptly got hurt. So Cassel will start on Sunday. Which doesn’t bode well for the team. Expect Cincinnati to play tough after a last week’s surprising victory against the Giants.

New York Jets at ST. LOUIS RAMS — It’s tough to feel confident in either of those teams. If Team Blowhard were playing at home, I would definitely pick them to win this game, but they’re not, so I won’t.

Philadelphia at WASHINGTON — The Eagles are this season’s most depressing team, which is slightly different from being the worst. (Cleveland, Kansas City and Oakland are all worse than Philly.) This Philadelphia team makes me sad. My instinct is to avert my eyes whenever they appear on TV. I predict that the second half of the season will even sadder than the first, and that the Redskins will contribute to the Eagles’ sadness by beating them on Sunday.

TAMPA BAY at Carolina — I’ve probably made a mistake by hopping on the Tampa Bay bandwagon, but it seems like the right thing to do since I hopped off the Panthers’ bandwagon some time ago. This could actually be an interesting game (though it could also be an ugly one). Josh Freeman actually looks like an NFL quarterback again, while Cam Newton looks like he’s still figuring things out.

Jacksonville at HOUSTON — From what I can tell, there’s not a single person on earth who thinks the Jaguars can win this game. I’m certainly not going to be the outlier.

NEW ORLEANS at Oakland — People seem to think the Saints could make the playoffs if they keep playing well. But if they lose to Oakland, that type of talk will come to a sudden end.

San Diego at DENVER — San Diego might be the league’s second most depressing team. I used to enjoy watching Phil Rivers and the Chargers struggle. Now I avert my eyes.

Indianapolis at NEW ENGLAND — Colts QB Andrew Luck has been something of a miracle worker, but he’ll have a difficult time creating magic against the Patriots.

BALTIMORE at Pittsburgh — Expect a gritty, smashmouth game ... and a Ravens victory.

Chicago at SAN FRANCISCO — Both these teams were a disappointment last week. The 49ers game ended in a tie, while the Bears scored just six points against Houston. My prediction: The Bears have officially entered their second-half slide, while the 49ers will win most of their remaining games, including this one.

Week 10 results:

Me: 9-4, Overall: 88-57
My obnoxious friend: 10-3 Overall: 99-46

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