Black Friday for Tkaczyk
Republican Assemblyman George Amedore has a 920-vote lead over Democrat Cecilia Tkaczyk in the 46th Senate District, with absentee and affidavit ballots left to count in Ulster County.
About 1200 paper ballots were counted from Montgomery County on Friday, according to Amedore spokesman Kris Thompson. At the end of the day, Amedore had netted 405 votes and expanded on the lead he built earlier this week from Greene and Schenectady counties. The race now comes down to Ulster County, where about 3,350 absentee ballots and 1,100 affidavit ballots were cast.
Amedore's performance in paper ballots on Friday was an improvement from his Election Day performance in Montgomery County, where he won about 63.5 percent of the vote. His portion of the absentee and affidavit ballots was at 65.8 percent, which is the best percentage victory he has had to date.
It is not clear how many paper ballots were laid aside because of legal objections and require a judge to rule on their eligibility. The judge will only be forced to rule if the margin of the race is less than the number of leftover ballots.
The outcome on Friday is not a good sign for Tkaczyk and the Senate Democrats, who were hoping this seat would give them the majority in the chamber.
In order for Tkaczyk to come back from behind she will need an unusually high number of paper ballots to be deemed eligible in Ulster County and probably needs to outperform her Election Day performance in the county. If she outperformed her Election Day performance by two percentage points and about 80 percent of the paper ballots were counted, then Tkaczyk would net 926 votes and be put her ahead.
But in order to stay alive, Tkaczyk doesn't need to be leading after Ulster County, just with a deficit that is less than the number of paper ballots remaining.
The counting of Ulster County will begin on Monday.