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Amedore regains lead in Senate race (UPDATED)

By Lombardo David
Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Republican Assemblyman George Amedore is back on top in the 46th Senate District.

He has retaken the lead on the back of absentee and affidavit ballots in Greene County, which are still being counted today. Last night Democrat Cecilia Tkaczyk pulled ahead in the race based on paper ballots from Albany County. The lead has now switched three times since Election Day.

UPDATE, 11:30 p.m. TUESDAY: As of the latest count from Greene County, which was provided by Amedore's spokesman Kris Thompson, Amedore had gained 474 votes and Tkaczyk had only gained 324. This gives Amedore a lead of almost 120 votes, with about half the county to go.

Based on his strong showing from Election Day in Greene County, which he won with about 59 percent of the vote, it is likely that Amedore's lead will hold.

Although it is still early in Greene County's process, it is important to note that even after counting the Catskill area, about 59 percent of the paper ballots have broken for Amedore. This is indicative of a trend that was spotted in Albany County on Monday, when he outperformed his Election Day percentage. This is probably because he was the early leader in this race, with Tkaczyk coming on late with a big influx of outside advertising on her behalf.

At this point, Tkaczyk's campaign is hoping that they can weather Greene County today, Schenctady County tomorrow and Montgomery County on Friday, without too large of a deficit. All three of these counties broke for Amedore on Election Day.

Tkaczyk's then needs a strong performance from Ulster County, which also starts on Friday, to give her one more comeback in this race and ultimately end up on top. She won the county on Election Day with almost 61 percent of the vote.

UPDATE, 5:40 p.m. Tuesday: Greene County will not be finished tonight, according to Amedore spokesman Kris Thompson. Acting Montgomery County Supreme Court Judge Guy Tomlinson, who is overseeing the counting process, has ordered Greene County to stop at 7 p.m. and resume tomorrow at 9 a.m. Counting on Wednesday will include Greene and Schenectady Counties.

Thompson estimated that they'll have about half of Greene County to finish tomorrow.

Follow @GazettePolitics on Twitter for updates on this race and follow @poozer87 on Twitter for a steady stream of consciousness about this race.

 
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